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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 20 January 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Saturday 20 January 2024. Peterborough vs Shrewsbury (Peterborough over 1.5 goals) sits top on 66% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 43%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Peterborough over 1.5 goals 66%
Peterborough
2 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 62% Peterborough Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Beşiktaş over 1.5 goals 66%
Pendikspor
4 : 0 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 11%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals 66%
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC St. Pauli over 1.5 goals 65%
FC St. Pauli
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals 63%
BSC Young Boys
1 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 56%
#6 League Two Β· England Milton Keynes Dons over 1.5 goals 63%
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 2 FT
Morecambe
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Heidenheim over 1.5 goals 60%
1. FC Heidenheim
1 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#8 League One Β· England Portsmouth over 1.5 goals 59%
Fleetwood Town
0 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 13%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 65%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente over 1.5 goals 59%
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 0 FT
Twente
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 58%
FC Schalke 04
0 : 2 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 39%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 39%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 74%
#11 Championship Β· England Plymouth over 1.5 goals 57%
Plymouth
3 : 1 FT
Cardiff
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan over 1.5 goals 56%
Udinese
2 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 33%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Estoril over 1.5 goals 56%
Estoril
1 : 2 FT
Arouca
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk over 1.5 goals 55%
Genk
1 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 14 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 20 January 2024?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Peterborough vs Shrewsbury (Peterborough over 1.5 goals) at 66% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.