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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 29 October 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 29 October 2023. Aston Villa vs Luton (Aston Villa over 1.5 goals) led the list at 86% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 61%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa over 1.5 goals 86%
Aston Villa
3 : 1 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 10%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen over 1.5 goals 85%
Plzen
0 : 1 FT
Karviná
Win 83%
Draw 10%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 78%
PSV Eindhoven
5 : 2 FT
Ajax
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns over 1.5 goals 77%
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF over 1.5 goals 76%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2 : 2 FT
Stabaek
Win 73%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil Internacional over 1.5 goals 76%
Internacional
3 : 4 FT
Coritiba
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Super League Β· China Hangzhou Greentown over 1.5 goals 73%
Hangzhou Greentown
6 : 1 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy Inter over 1.5 goals 72%
Inter
1 : 0 FT
AS Roma
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals 71%
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos over 1.5 goals 69%
Panathinaikos
5 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Austria TSV Hartberg over 1.5 goals 68%
Austria Lustenau
0 : 4 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 9%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Holstein Kiel over 1.5 goals 66%
Holstein Kiel
0 : 2 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise over 1.5 goals 66%
KVC Westerlo
1 : 3 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 18%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras over 1.5 goals 65%
Palmeiras
1 : 0 FT
Bahia
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes over 1.5 goals 65%
Rennes
1 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Superettan Β· Sweden Skövde AIK over 1.5 goals 65%
Skövde AIK
2 : 0 FT
Utsikten
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals 64%
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#18 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico Paranaense over 1.5 goals 62%
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 55%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil Corinthians over 1.5 goals 62%
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
Santos
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 57%
#20 Super League Β· China Henan Jianye over 1.5 goals 61%
Henan Jianye
1 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 29 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Aston Villa vs Luton (Aston Villa over 1.5 goals) at 86% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.