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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 3 September 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 3 September 2023. Raków Częstochowa vs Puszcza Niepołomice (Raków Częstochowa over 1.5 goals) sits top on 70% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa over 1.5 goals 70%
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 0 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 61%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil Botafogo over 1.5 goals 68%
Botafogo
1 : 2 FT
Flamengo
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway Brann over 1.5 goals 67%
Brann
1 : 0 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 71%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha over 1.5 goals 66%
Slavia Praha
5 : 1 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus over 1.5 goals 65%
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 22%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Premier League Β· England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 64%
Liverpool
3 : 0 FT
Aston Villa
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Elversberg over 1.5 goals 61%
VfL Osnabrück
0 : 1 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 37%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 42%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 75%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF over 1.5 goals 61%
Malmo FF
2 : 2 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 55%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 60%
Hamburger SV
2 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals 59%
Ham-Kam
4 : 4 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia FC Rostov over 1.5 goals 59%
FC Rostov
1 : 2 FT
Dynamo
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 1.5 goals 58%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 3 FT
Hannover 96
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv over 1.5 goals 58%
Lokomotiv
3 : 2 FT
Baltika
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
#14 Premier League Β· England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 58%
Arsenal
3 : 1 FT
Manchester United
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece Aris Thessalonikis over 1.5 goals 58%
Aris Thessalonikis
3 : 2 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 26%
Win 9%
BTTS No 56%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway Stromsgodset over 1.5 goals 58%
Stromsgodset
2 : 1 FT
Stabaek
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge II over 1.5 goals 57%
Club Brugge II
2 : 2 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany Union Berlin over 1.5 goals 57%
Union Berlin
0 : 3 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
#19 La Liga Β· Spain Girona over 1.5 goals 56%
Girona
1 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Legia Warszawa over 1.5 goals 56%
Legia Warszawa
3 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 3 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Raków Częstochowa vs Puszcza Niepołomice (Raków Częstochowa over 1.5 goals) at 70% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.