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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 28 May 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 28 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Nürnberg (SC Paderborn 07 over 1.5 goals) at 80% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Paderborn 07 over 1.5 goals 80%
SC Paderborn 07
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 77%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 74%
SV Sandhausen
0 : 1 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 19%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Premier League Β· England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 73%
Arsenal
5 : 0 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Ulsan Hyundai FC over 1.5 goals 68%
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3 : 3 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia Spartak Moscow over 1.5 goals 67%
Spartak Moscow
0 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente over 1.5 goals 67%
Twente
3 : 1 FT
Ajax
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#7 Premier League Β· England Tottenham over 1.5 goals 65%
Leeds
1 : 4 FT
Tottenham
Win 36%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV over 1.5 goals 63%
Club Brugge KV
1 : 3 FT
Genk
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 62%
Feyenoord
0 : 1 FT
Vitesse
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv over 1.5 goals 62%
Dynamo
2 : 4 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 15%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Premier League Β· England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 61%
Southampton
4 : 4 FT
Liverpool
Win 14%
Draw 20%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF over 1.5 goals 61%
Djurgardens IF
1 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil Botafogo over 1.5 goals 61%
Botafogo
2 : 0 FT
America Mineiro
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 55%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain Almeria over 1.5 goals 60%
Almeria
0 : 0 FT
Valladolid
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 56%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam over 1.5 goals 60%
FC Volendam
3 : 2 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
BTTS No 58%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil Sao Paulo over 1.5 goals 59%
Sao Paulo
2 : 1 FT
Goias
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
BTTS No 54%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona over 1.5 goals 58%
Barcelona
3 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Barcelona Clean Sheet 57%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hannover 96 over 1.5 goals 57%
Hannover 96
1 : 5 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#19 Premier League Β· England Crystal Palace over 1.5 goals 56%
Crystal Palace
1 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg over 1.5 goals 56%
Red Bull Salzburg
3 : 2 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 28 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Nürnberg (SC Paderborn 07 over 1.5 goals) at 80% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.