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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 21 May 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 21 May 2023. Sirius vs Halmstad (Sirius over 1.5 goals) sits top on 71% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Sirius over 1.5 goals 71%
Sirius
1 : 2 FT
Halmstad
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 71%
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 3 FT
Heerenveen
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals 70%
Hatayspor
0 : 3 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 8%
Draw 15%
βœ“ Win 77%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals 68%
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 2 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Premier League Β· England Brighton over 1.5 goals 68%
Brighton
3 : 1 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Premier League Β· England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 67%
Manchester City
1 : 0 FT
Chelsea
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 54%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf over 1.5 goals 65%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 : 3 FT
Hannover 96
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany FSV Mainz 05 over 1.5 goals 64%
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 4 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 64%
Emmen
1 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 10%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo over 1.5 goals 63%
Flamengo
1 : 0 FT
Corinthians
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#11 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Ulsan Hyundai FC over 1.5 goals 62%
Suwon Bluewings
2 : 3 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 12%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 62%
Ajax
3 : 1 FT
Utrecht
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France Reims over 1.5 goals 62%
Reims
2 : 2 FT
Angers
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk over 1.5 goals 62%
Genk
1 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#15 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Goteborg over 1.5 goals 61%
IFK Goteborg
1 : 1 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 56%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain Rayo Vallecano over 1.5 goals 59%
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 2 FT
Espanyol
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Sparta Rotterdam over 1.5 goals 58%
Sparta Rotterdam
4 : 1 FT
Cambuur
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals 58%
NEC Nijmegen
0 : 3 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 19%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles over 1.5 goals 57%
GO Ahead Eagles
3 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Pardubice over 1.5 goals 56%
Pardubice
1 : 2 FT
Zlin
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 21 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sirius vs Halmstad (Sirius over 1.5 goals) at 71% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.