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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 20 May 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Saturday 20 May 2023. Hamburger SV vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals) sits top on 72% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Süper Lig supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 58%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 72%
Hamburger SV
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals 71%
Sparta Praha
2 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray over 1.5 goals 71%
Galatasaray
2 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Kayserispor over 1.5 goals 66%
Kayserispor
0 : 4 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv over 1.5 goals 63%
Lokomotiv
1 : 0 FT
Fakel
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Heidenheim over 1.5 goals 63%
1. FC Heidenheim
1 : 0 FT
SV Sandhausen
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 59%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Kasımpaşa over 1.5 goals 62%
Kasımpaşa
1 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha over 1.5 goals 62%
Slavia Praha
2 : 1 FT
Plzen
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile Coquimbo Unido over 1.5 goals 61%
Coquimbo Unido
1 : 0 FT
Magallanes
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden Gais over 1.5 goals 61%
Gais
0 : 1 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan over 1.5 goals 61%
AC Milan
5 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
BTTS No 57%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KVC Westerlo over 1.5 goals 60%
KVC Westerlo
3 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 73%
#13 Premier League Β· England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 59%
Nottingham Forest
1 : 0 FT
Arsenal
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France Montpellier over 1.5 goals 57%
Nantes
0 : 3 FT
Montpellier
Win 24%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France Niort over 1.5 goals 57%
Niort
2 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#16 Premier League Β· Russia Akhmat over 1.5 goals 57%
Akhmat
3 : 0 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia over 1.5 goals 57%
Jagiellonia
1 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia Dynamo over 1.5 goals 57%
Torpedo Moskva
0 : 3 FT
Dynamo
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit over 1.5 goals 56%
FC Orenburg
2 : 2 FT
Zenit
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 19 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 20 May 2023?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hamburger SV vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals) at 72% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.