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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 6 May 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 15 fixtures on Saturday 6 May 2023. Manchester City vs Leeds (Manchester City over 1.5 goals) sits top on 87% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 87%
Manchester City
2 : 1 FT
Leeds
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 9%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Adana Demirspor over 1.5 goals 80%
Adana Demirspor
4 : 2 FT
Alanyaspor
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Zlin over 1.5 goals 79%
Zlin
1 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 66%
Draw 17%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Jazira over 1.5 goals 70%
Al-Dhafra
4 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 19%
Draw 19%
Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Utrecht over 1.5 goals 67%
Cambuur
0 : 3 FT
Utrecht
Win 20%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV over 1.5 goals 61%
Club Brugge KV
1 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France Metz over 1.5 goals 60%
Niort
1 : 3 FT
Metz
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Karlsruher SC over 1.5 goals 60%
Karlsruher SC
2 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 60%
Werder Bremen
1 : 2 FT
Bayern München
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia Dynamo over 1.5 goals 59%
Khimki
0 : 1 FT
Dynamo
Win 29%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
#11 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Lommel United over 1.5 goals 58%
Dender
2 : 1 FT
Lommel United
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United over 1.5 goals 58%
Bangkok United
2 : 0 FT
Muangthong United
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf over 1.5 goals 57%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 : 0 FT
Holstein Kiel
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#14 Premier League Β· England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 56%
Liverpool
1 : 0 FT
Brentford
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach over 1.5 goals 55%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 15 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 6 May 2023?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester City vs Leeds (Manchester City over 1.5 goals) at 87% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.