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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 3 May 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 3 May 2023. Manchester City vs West Ham (Manchester City over 1.5 goals) led the list at 78% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 60%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies four of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 78%
Manchester City
3 : 0 FT
West Ham
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine Zorya Luhansk over 1.5 goals 71%
Zorya Luhansk
1 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dnipro-1 over 1.5 goals 68%
Dnipro-1
5 : 0 FT
Metal Kharkiv
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IF Elfsborg over 1.5 goals 68%
IF Elfsborg
6 : 1 FT
Halmstad
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde over 1.5 goals 62%
Molde
3 : 0 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC over 1.5 goals 62%
Al Taawon
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 13%
Draw 20%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan over 1.5 goals 61%
AC Milan
1 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Premier League Β· England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 60%
Liverpool
1 : 0 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 8 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 3 May 2023?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester City vs West Ham (Manchester City over 1.5 goals) at 78% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.