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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 31 August 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 31 August 2022. Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain (Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals) led the list at 85% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 85%
Toulouse
0 : 3 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 8%
Draw 13%
βœ“ Win 79%
✓ Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha over 1.5 goals 81%
Slavia Praha
6 : 0 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon over 1.5 goals 74%
Lyon
2 : 1 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Premier League Β· England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 73%
Manchester City
6 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 69%
PSV Eindhoven
7 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Premier League Β· England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 69%
Arsenal
2 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Premier League Β· England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 67%
Liverpool
2 : 1 FT
Newcastle
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille over 1.5 goals 65%
Marseille
1 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking over 1.5 goals 64%
Kristiansund BK
2 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 31%
Draw 21%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway Tromso over 1.5 goals 62%
Tromso
1 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco over 1.5 goals 61%
Monaco
2 : 4 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli over 1.5 goals 60%
Napoli
1 : 1 FT
Lecce
Win 66%
Draw 25%
Win 9%
BTTS No 54%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens over 1.5 goals 56%
Lens
5 : 2 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 13 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 31 August 2022?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain (Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals) at 85% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.