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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 15 January 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Saturday 15 January 2022. FC St. Pauli vs Erzgebirge AUE (FC St. Pauli over 1.5 goals) sits top on 70% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 61%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC St. Pauli over 1.5 goals 70%
FC St. Pauli
2 : 2 FT
Erzgebirge AUE
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 70%
1. FC Köln
0 : 4 FT
Bayern München
Win 21%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France Toulouse over 1.5 goals 69%
Toulouse
1 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga over 1.5 goals 67%
SC Braga
0 : 1 FT
Maritimo
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals 67%
ADO Den Haag
2 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany FSV Mainz 05 over 1.5 goals 66%
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica over 1.5 goals 65%
Benfica
1 : 1 FT
Moreirense
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 59%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals 62%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 2 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 32%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Darmstadt 98 over 1.5 goals 61%
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 2 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Championship Β· England Fulham over 1.5 goals 61%
Fulham
6 : 2 FT
Bristol City
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 League One Β· England AFC Wimbledon over 1.5 goals 60%
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 FT
Morecambe
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#12 League Two Β· England Bristol Rovers over 1.5 goals 60%
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 FT
Hartlepool
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 58%
Feyenoord
0 : 1 FT
Vitesse
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#14 League One Β· England Wigan over 1.5 goals 57%
Doncaster
1 : 2 FT
Wigan
Win 14%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 64%
BTTS No 54%
#15 Premier League Β· England Watford over 1.5 goals 56%
Newcastle
1 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 28%
Draw 22%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens over 1.5 goals 56%
Saint Etienne
1 : 2 FT
Lens
Win 27%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy Lazio over 1.5 goals 55%
Salernitana
0 : 3 FT
Lazio
Win 21%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV over 1.5 goals 55%
Club Brugge KV
2 : 0 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 19%

Showing top 18 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 15 January 2022?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC St. Pauli vs Erzgebirge AUE (FC St. Pauli over 1.5 goals) at 70% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.