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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability — Friday 9 April 2027

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market — you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Twelve fixtures clear the bar on Friday 9 April 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Den Bosch vs NAC Breda at 94% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 73%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
: 18:00
NAC Breda
Win 54%
Draw 18%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 79%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
: 18:00
VVV Venlo
Win 35%
Draw 20%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 77%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
: 18:00
Vitesse
Win 36%
Draw 21%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 71%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
: 18:00
Nantes
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
: 18:00
Helmond Sport
Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
: 18:00
Annecy
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
: 18:00
Rodez
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
: 18:00
FC OSS
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
: 18:00
Waalwijk
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
: 18:00
Reims
Win 17%
Draw 26%
Win 58%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Boulogne
: 18:00
Grenoble
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
: 18:00
Laval
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 12 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (≥ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 9 April 2027?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Den Bosch vs NAC Breda at 94% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.