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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 6 April 2027

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Six fixtures clear the bar on Tuesday 6 April 2027. West Ham vs Bolton sits top on 88% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 74%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies six of the top 6, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
West Ham
– : – 18:45
Bolton
Win 41%
Draw 22%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Championship Β· England
Millwall
– : – 18:45
Middlesbrough
Win 36%
Draw 22%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Championship Β· England
Lincoln
– : – 18:45
Bristol City
Win 21%
Draw 20%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Championship Β· England
QPR
– : – 18:45
Charlton
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 60%
#5 Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
– : – 18:45
Wolves
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
– : – 18:45
Cardiff
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
BTTS No 56%

Showing top 6 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 6 April 2027?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by West Ham vs Bolton at 88% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.