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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability — Friday 19 February 2027

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market — you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

13 matches clear our threshold on Friday 19 February 2027. The strongest reading belongs to FC Volendam vs NAC Breda at 95% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
: 19:00
NAC Breda
Win 71%
Draw 14%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 86% BTTS Yes 76%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
: 19:00
Heracles
Win 25%
Draw 18%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 78%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Reims
: 19:00
Nantes
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
: 19:00
De Graafschap
Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
: 19:00
Almere City FC
Win 36%
Draw 22%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
: 19:00
FC Eindhoven
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
: 19:00
Rodez
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
: 19:00
Clermont Foot
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
: 19:00
Annecy
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC
: 12:00
Sisaket United
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 53%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Boulogne
: 19:00
Saint Etienne
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
: 19:00
Montpellier
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 57%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
: 19:00
Roda
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 13 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (≥ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 19 February 2027?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Volendam vs NAC Breda at 95% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.