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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 18 July 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Eleven fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 18 July 2025. Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun sits top on 84% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 1 FT
Yunnan Yukun
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
1 : 1 FT
Baltika
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 61%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
1 : 4 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
0 : 4 FT
Nieciecza
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
1 : 3 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 22%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2 : 2 FT
Rosenborg
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
2 : 3 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 27%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
2 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Kooteepee
2 : 2 FT
Inter Turku
Win 16%
Draw 25%
Win 59%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
1 : 5 FT
Plzen
Win 31%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 11 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 18 July 2025?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun at 84% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.