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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 19 June 2024

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Wednesday 19 June 2024. VPS vs AC Oulu sits top on 93% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Veikkausliiga supplies four of the top 5, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the over 1.5 goals market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
1 : 1 FT
AC Oulu
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
2 : 2 FT
SJK
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Haka
0 : 0 FT
Inter Turku
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
1 : 2 FT
Criciuma
Win 24%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
3 : 3 FT
Gnistan
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 5 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 19 June 2024?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by VPS vs AC Oulu at 93% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.