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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 2 June 2023

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 2 June 2023. Saint Etienne vs Valenciennes sits top on 86% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the over 1.5 goals market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Saint Etienne
2 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Wehen
4 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
1 : 0 FT
Caen
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
1 : 0 FT
Annecy
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Niort
3 : 3 FT
Quevilly
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
4 : 3 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
1 : 3 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 23%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nimes
3 : 1 FT
Sochaux
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria
WSG Wattens
1 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 1 FT
Cork City
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 55%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 0 FT
Dundalk
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Lustenau
5 : 1 FT
TSV Hartberg
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France
Metz
3 : 2 FT
Bastia
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
1 : 3 FT
Fiorentina
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 15 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 2 June 2023?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Saint Etienne vs Valenciennes at 86% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.