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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 30 May 2023

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 30 May 2023. Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor sits top on 96% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 71%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Süper Lig supplies nine of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the over 1.5 goals market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
2 : 0 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 17%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 89% BTTS Yes 84%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
2 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Giresunspor
2 : 4 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 0 FT
Konyaspor
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ankaragücü
1 : 4 FT
Galatasaray
Win 21%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
İstanbulspor
0 : 2 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 32%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 43%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
0 : 3 FT
Ümraniyespor
Win 20%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 57%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
3 : 0 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 3 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 10 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 30 May 2023?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor at 96% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.