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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 29 May 2023

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

18 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 29 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to FC ST. Gallen vs FC Sion at 91% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
4 : 0 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
2 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 73%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
0 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
4 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
5 : 1 FT
Viking
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Degerfors IF
1 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Vancouver FC
0 : 0 FT
Valour
Win 10%
Draw 23%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Ham-Kam
0 : 0 FT
Lillestrom
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#9 League One Β· England
Barnsley
0 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
3 : 1 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
3 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
0 : 2 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
5 : 0 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%
#15 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Zurich
2 : 3 FT
FC Lugano
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 57%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
2 : 1 FT
Valerenga
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 56%
#17 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#18 Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
0 : 3 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 17%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 18 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 29 May 2023?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC ST. Gallen vs FC Sion at 91% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.