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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 24 October 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 24 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Zenit vs FC Sochi at 92% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
7 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 65%
Draw 17%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
4 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#4 Premier League Β· England
West Ham
2 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
2 : 1 FT
Norrby IF
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
3 : 0 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 0 FT
Telstar
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia
Ural
2 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
4 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
2 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 25%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
0 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 56%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 1 FT
Getafe
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
2 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Cremonese
0 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 30%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
1 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#18 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
0 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#19 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 3 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 54%
#20 Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Havre
2 : 0 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 24 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zenit vs FC Sochi at 92% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.