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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 10 July 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 10 July 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Haugesund vs Ham-Kam at 87% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 71%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the over 1.5 goals market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
1 : 1 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
1 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
2 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
3 : 2 FT
jerv
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
5 : 1 FT
Tromso
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
0 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
4 : 0 FT
Lahti
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
Coquimbo Unido
1 : 1 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 1 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#10 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon City FC
4 : 3 FT
FC Seoul
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Super League Β· China
Dalian Aerbin
1 : 3 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Superettan Β· Sweden
Utsikten
1 : 1 FT
Osters IF
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil
Santos
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Goianiense
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
#14 Superettan Β· Sweden
Skövde AIK
2 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
0 : 0 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
1 : 2 FT
BK Hacken
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 16 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 10 July 2022?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Haugesund vs Ham-Kam at 87% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.