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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 8 April 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 8 April 2022. VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund sits top on 89% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies seven of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 2 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 23%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 55%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 2 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
1 : 4 FT
Telstar
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
3 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
3 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
3 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1 : 1 FT
FC Ingolstadt 04
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
2 : 4 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
4 : 2 FT
Granada CF
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#14 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
York United
0 : 1 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
#15 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
0 : 1 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
3 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 54%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
3 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#18 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
0 : 5 FT
VPS
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 2 FT
Moreirense
Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 19 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 8 April 2022?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund at 89% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.