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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 31 December 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Friday 31 December 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Chongqing Lifan vs Shanghai Shenhua at 83% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 72%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies three of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the over 1.5 goals market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Chongqing Lifan
0 : 0 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Emirates Club
2 : 2 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 22%
Draw 32%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
1 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 56%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
1 : 2 FT
Espanyol
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
#6 Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
2 : 0 FT
Dalian Aerbin
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Huanghai
0 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 30%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 31 December 2021?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Chongqing Lifan vs Shanghai Shenhua at 83% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.