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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 29 December 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Wednesday 29 December 2021. Vitória SC vs Boavista led the list at 84% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 71%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 58%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
1 : 1 FT
Boavista
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Championship Β· England
Blackburn
2 : 1 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#3 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou R&F
1 : 2 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 31%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 League One Β· England
Oxford United
3 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 League One Β· England
Ipswich
1 : 0 FT
Wycombe
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Super League Β· China
Hebei Zhongji
0 : 2 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
Win 30%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%
#9 League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
0 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#10 Premier League Β· England
Brentford
0 : 1 FT
Manchester City
Win 16%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
1 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#12 League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
0 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 12 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 29 December 2021?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Vitória SC vs Boavista at 84% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.