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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 16 August 2020

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 16 August 2020. The strongest reading belongs to Rosenborg vs Aalesund at 90% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 70%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies six of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the over 1.5 goals market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
3 : 2 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
1 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
2 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 20%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
3 : 3 FT
Stabaek
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
2 : 3 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
2 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
0 : 1 FT
Mjondalen
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 16 August 2020?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Rosenborg vs Aalesund at 90% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.