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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability — Sunday 7 March 2027

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher — making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

20 fixtures clear the bar on Sunday 7 March 2027. The strongest reading belongs to FC Porto vs Maritimo at 84% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Süper Lig supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
– : – 16:00
Maritimo
Win 84%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 72%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
– : – 16:00
Utrecht
Win 83%
Draw 10%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
– : – 12:00
Samsunspor
Win 82%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 71%
#4 Süper Lig · Turkey
Amed
– : – 12:00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 70%
#5 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
– : – 12:30
Dynamo Dresden
Win 77%
Draw 13%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe
– : – 12:00
Eyüpspor
Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
– : – 16:00
Real Betis
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
– : – 12:00
Konyaspor
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
– : – 16:00
Osasuna
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 67%
#10 Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
– : – 17:30
Cagliari
Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 66%
#11 Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
– : – 16:00
Willem II
Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 66%
#12 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
– : – 12:30
Karlsruher SC
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ayutthaya FC
– : – 11:30
Rasi Salai United
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
– : – 16:00
Celta Vigo
Win 58%
Draw 30%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 63% Atletico Madrid Clean Sheet 55%
#15 La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
– : – 16:00
Racing Santander
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
#16 Serie A · Italy
Lazio
– : – 17:30
Frosinone
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#17 Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
– : – 12:00
Rizespor
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
#18 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
– : – 12:30
Holstein Kiel
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 60%
#19 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
– : – 12:30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 53%
#20 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
– : – 12:30
Energie Cottbus
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by home win probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker — common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 7 March 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Porto vs Maritimo at 84% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.