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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Wednesday 13 May 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Wednesday 13 May 2026. Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar sits top on 78% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 58%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the home win market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 : 1 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 59% Shakhtar Donetsk Clean Sheet 55%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
2 : 3 FT
Sevilla
Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
3 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 0 FT
SK Poltava
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Forge
1 : 0 FT
Supra du Quebec
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 League One Β· England
Stockport County
2 : 0 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
5 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
1 : 1 FT
United Nordic
Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
2 : 2 FT
Oddevold
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 9 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Wednesday 13 May 2026?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar at 78% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.