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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 9 May 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Eleven fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 9 May 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor at 71% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the home win market — 73%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
4 : 2 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 22%
Win 6%
BTTS No 59% Galatasaray Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
2 : 2 FT
Vitoria
Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 1 FT
FC St. Pauli
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#4 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
3 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Brighton
3 : 0 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
1 : 1 FT
Zlin
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
Win 58%
Draw 18%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
3 : 0 FT
Samsunspor
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
3 : 0 FT
Brentford
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#10 League One Β· England
Bolton
1 : 0 FT
Bradford
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
3 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 11 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 9 May 2026?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor at 71% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.