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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 9 November 2025

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 9 November 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Bodo/Glimt vs Bryne at 81% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the home win market — 68%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
5 : 0 FT
Bryne
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
3 : 2 FT
Santos
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Levadiakos
5 : 2 FT
Panserraikos
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
3 : 1 FT
IFK Varnamo
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
3 : 0 FT
IF Elfsborg
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Universidad de Chile
4 : 3 FT
Deportes Limache
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
7 : 1 FT
SK Poltava
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
2 : 2 FT
Casa Pia
Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 4 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv
1 : 0 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
0 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
3 : 0 FT
Liverpool
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cruzeiro
0 : 0 FT
Fluminense
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
0 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
2 : 0 FT
Lille
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
4 : 2 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Atlético Ottawa
2 : 1 FT
Cavalry FC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#18 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
1 : 0 FT
Valerenga
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#19 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
1 : 2 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 19 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 9 November 2025?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs Bryne at 81% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.