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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 27 October 2024

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 27 October 2024. Benfica vs Rio Ave sits top on 80% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the home win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
5 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 2 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
2 : 2 FT
Auxerre
Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
3 : 0 FT
Dukla Praha
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 23%
Win 7%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Slavia Praha Clean Sheet 59%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
3 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 23%
Win 8%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
0 : 1 FT
Halmstad
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
1 : 0 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
2 : 0 FT
Bodrum FK
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
0 : 0 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 3 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 61%
Draw 30%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 66% Union St. Gilloise Clean Sheet 60%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 2 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
5 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
0 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
3 : 0 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
1 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
3 : 1 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 : 1 FT
Preußen Münster
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 18 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 27 October 2024?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Benfica vs Rio Ave at 80% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.