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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 24 April 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 24 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Liverpool vs Everton at 86% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 57%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the home win market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
2 : 0 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 10%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Liverpool Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
5 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
1 : 0 FT
jerv
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 2 FT
Coritiba
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
3 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
BTTS No 57%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
5 : 3 FT
Bordeaux
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
0 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor
1 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 1 FT
Górnik Łęczna
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
1 : 0 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
0 : 1 FT
Genk
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
3 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
3 : 1 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 13 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 24 April 2022?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Liverpool vs Everton at 86% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.