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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 26 February 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 26 February 2022. Getafe vs Alaves sits top on 70% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the home win market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
2 : 2 FT
Alaves
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
1 : 2 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 61% Paris Saint Germain Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Sochi
2 : 0 FT
Arsenal Tula
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
3 : 1 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Championship Β· England
Nottingham Forest
2 : 0 FT
Bristol City
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 League Two Β· England
Sutton Utd
4 : 1 FT
Scunthorpe
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 28%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62% Sutton Utd Clean Sheet 54%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
3 : 0 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
– : – CANC
Inhulets
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
2 : 1 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
0 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
4 : 0 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
#14 Championship Β· England
Luton
1 : 0 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 League One Β· England
Portsmouth
3 : 3 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%

Showing top 15 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 26 February 2022?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Getafe vs Alaves at 70% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.