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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 31 October 2021

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 16 fixtures on Sunday 31 October 2021. Borussia Mönchengladbach vs VfL Bochum led the list at 70% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the home win market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 : 1 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 22%
Win 7%
BTTS No 57% Borussia Mönchengladbach Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
1 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
2 : 2 FT
Mjondalen
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
2 : 2 FT
OH Leuven
Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
3 : 0 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Plock
2 : 0 FT
Wisla Krakow
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
2 : 5 FT
SJK
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 0 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Pacific FC
1 : 2 FT
York United
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#11 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
0 : 0 FT
OFI
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
1 : 0 FT
Brann
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
2 : 0 FT
Muangthong United
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
4 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
0 : 0 FT
Venezia
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 16 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 31 October 2021?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Borussia Mönchengladbach vs VfL Bochum at 70% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.