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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 17 July 2021

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Saturday 17 July 2021. Haugesund vs Brann led the list at 70% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies seven of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
– : – CANC
Brann
Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 57%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
– : – CANC
Mjondalen
Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
– : – CANC
Kristiansund BK
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
– : – CANC
Sandefjord
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
3 : 2 FT
Viking
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
– : – CANC
Tromso
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
– : – CANC
Lillestrom
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 7 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 17 July 2021?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Haugesund vs Brann at 70% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.