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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals — Friday 16 April 2027

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

Twelve matches clear our threshold on Friday 16 April 2027. FC OSS vs Emmen tops the list at 4.23 in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 4.23 down to 2.59, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
: 18:00
Emmen
Win 49%
Draw 20%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 77%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
: 18:00
Den Bosch
Win 54%
Draw 20%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles
: 18:00
Jong Ajax
Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
: 18:00
Dordrecht
Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
: 18:00
Almere City FC
Win 18%
Draw 18%
Win 64%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
: 18:00
FC Eindhoven
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
: 18:00
Nantes
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
: 18:00
Saint Etienne
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
: 18:00
Clermont Foot
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
: 18:00
Dunkerque
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Reims
: 18:00
Metz
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
: 18:00
Guingamp
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 12 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest — common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Friday 16 April 2027?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by FC OSS vs Emmen at 4.23 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.