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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Friday 3 April 2026

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 3 April 2026. Kortrijk vs KAA Gent II sits top on 3.78 in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 3.78 down to 2.89, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the goal fest market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
2 : 0 FT
KAA Gent II
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 63%
#2 League One Β· England
Lincoln
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 3 FT
Waalwijk
Win 30%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 League Two Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 0 FT
Barrow
Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
1 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
5 : 2 FT
Al Najma
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS No 60% Al-Nassr Clean Sheet 57%
#7 League Two Β· England
Chesterfield
1 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Championship Β· England
QPR
2 : 1 FT
Watford
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#10 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
5 : 1 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 1 FT
Toulouse
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
1 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
2 : 2 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
3 : 0 FT
AVS
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 57%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
3 : 0 FT
Cambuur
Win 18%
Draw 21%
Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Superettan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
4 : 1 FT
Osters IF
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
0 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 32%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Primera División Β· Chile
Coquimbo Unido
3 : 2 FT
Cobresal
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Friday 3 April 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kortrijk vs KAA Gent II at 3.78 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.