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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Friday 2 January 2026

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 2 January 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra at 3.44 in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 3.44 down to 2.57, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies six of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the goal fest market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
2 : 3 FT
Al-Dhafra
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Najma
2 : 2 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
1 : 2 FT
Al Nasr
Win 19%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3 : 2 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
1 : 0 FT
Sharjah FC
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
2 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
0 : 1 FT
AC Milan
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
0 : 3 FT
Lens
Win 34%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 40%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 1 FT
Sporting CP
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%

Showing top 9 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Friday 2 January 2026?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra at 3.44 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.