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First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability β€” Sunday 13 February 2022

First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 13 February 2022. The strongest reading belongs to VVV Venlo vs Roda at 82% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the first half goals market — 73%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 82%
VVV Venlo
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 20%
Draw 18%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France 82%
Monaco
0 : 0 FT
Lorient
Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 72%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France 81%
Lens
3 : 2 FT
Bordeaux
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece 81%
OFI
2 : 1 FT
Volos NFC
Win 31%
Draw 22%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy 81%
Sassuolo
2 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece 78%
PAOK
1 : 0 FT
Atromitos
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 53%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 78%
Ajax
5 : 0 FT
Twente
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 77%
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 1 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland 77%
FC Luzern
1 : 0 FT
FC Sion
Win 26%
Draw 22%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 76%
Waalwijk
0 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 16%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy 76%
Empoli
1 : 1 FT
Cagliari
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany 76%
Union Berlin
0 : 3 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 65%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 76%
Belenenses
1 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 76%
Kasımpaşa
2 : 2 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#15 Super League Β· Switzerland 75%
BSC Young Boys
3 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 15 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

First Half Goals β€” common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Sunday 13 February 2022?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by VVV Venlo vs Roda at 82% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.