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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Sunday 22 June 2025

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 22 June 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Sandefjord vs Haugesund (Sandefjord (draw no bet)) at 85% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 6, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the draw no bet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sandefjord (draw no bet) 85%
Sandefjord
4 : 0 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking (draw no bet) 75%
Viking
3 : 0 FT
Fredrikstad
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde (draw no bet) 74%
Valerenga
2 : 3 FT
Molde
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden Kalmar FF (draw no bet) 73%
Kalmar FF
2 : 3 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF (draw no bet) 72%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 1 FT
Bryne
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden Varbergs BoIS FC (draw no bet) 71%
Oddevold
2 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 23%
Draw 21%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 6 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Sunday 22 June 2025?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Sandefjord vs Haugesund (Sandefjord (draw no bet)) at 85% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.