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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Friday 26 April 2024

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Friday 26 April 2024. FC St. Pauli vs Hansa Rostock (FC St. Pauli (draw no bet)) sits top on 84% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 70%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the draw no bet market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC St. Pauli (draw no bet) 84%
FC St. Pauli
1 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC (draw no bet) 83%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC (draw no bet) 78%
Al-Wasl FC
2 : 2 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria Austria Vienna (draw no bet) 76%
Austria Vienna
2 : 2 FT
SCR Altach
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#5 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Wahda FC (draw no bet) 76%
Emirates Club
0 : 0 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City (draw no bet) 75%
Chengdu Better City
0 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray (draw no bet) 75%
Adana Demirspor
0 : 3 FT
Galatasaray
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht (draw no bet) 75%
Cambuur
3 : 3 FT
Dordrecht
Win 20%
Draw 20%
Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Arouca (draw no bet) 74%
GIL Vicente
2 : 2 FT
Arouca
Win 20%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
#10 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Inter Turku (draw no bet) 72%
Inter Turku
2 : 1 FT
EIF
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians (draw no bet) 71%
Dundalk
2 : 0 FT
Bohemians
Win 20%
Draw 31%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers (draw no bet) 70%
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Galway United
Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67%

Showing top 12 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 26 April 2024?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by FC St. Pauli vs Hansa Rostock (FC St. Pauli (draw no bet)) at 84% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.