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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability — Saturday 19 August 2023

Wed 16 Thu 17 Fri 18 Sat 19 Sun 20 Mon 21 Tue 22

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 19 August 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC (Pacific FC (draw no bet)) at 85% in the Canadian Premier League. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 74%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the draw no bet market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Canada Pacific FC (draw no bet) 85%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Serie A · Brazil Fluminense (draw no bet) 83%

League One · England Peterborough (draw no bet) 80%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV (draw no bet) 80%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica (draw no bet) 80%

League Two · England Crewe (draw no bet) 80%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Eliteserien · Norway ODD Ballklubb (draw no bet) 79%

✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray (draw no bet) 79%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa (draw no bet) 79%

#10

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund (draw no bet) 79%

Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 67%

#11

2. Bundesliga · Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf (draw no bet) 78%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#12

League One · England Bolton (draw no bet) 77%

#13

Allsvenskan · Sweden IFK Varnamo (draw no bet) 77%

#14

League One · England Charlton (draw no bet) 76%

#15

Bundesliga · Germany VfL Wolfsburg (draw no bet) 75%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%

#16

Eredivisie · Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles (draw no bet) 74%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#17

League One · England Barnsley (draw no bet) 74%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#18

Premier League · Ukraine Ruh Lviv (draw no bet) 74%

✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%

#19

Bundesliga · Austria Austria Klagenfurt (draw no bet) 74%

Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#20

Championship · England Middlesbrough (draw no bet) 74%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Draw No Bet — common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 19 August 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC (Pacific FC (draw no bet)) at 85% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.