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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability — Monday 10 April 2023

Fri 7 Sat 8 Sun 9 Mon 10 Tue 11 Wed 12 Thu 13

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 10 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington ST (Sheffield Wednesday (draw no bet)) at 92% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 72%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the draw no bet market — 77%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · England Sheffield Wednesday (draw no bet) 92%

✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Sheffield Wednesday Clean Sheet 61%

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys (draw no bet) 89%

League One · England Portsmouth (draw no bet) 89%

✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Portsmouth Clean Sheet 54%

League One · England Barnsley (draw no bet) 86%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Championship · England West Brom (draw no bet) 86%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 66% West Brom Clean Sheet 59%

La Liga · Spain Barcelona (draw no bet) 85%

League One · England Bolton (draw no bet) 84%

✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 65% Bolton Clean Sheet 56%

League One · England Wycombe (draw no bet) 84%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Wycombe Clean Sheet 54%

Championship · England Luton (draw no bet) 82%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 58%

#10

Serie B · Italy Palermo (draw no bet) 82%

#11

Ekstraklasa · Poland Jagiellonia (draw no bet) 79%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%

#12

League Two · England Barrow (draw no bet) 77%

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#13

League One · England Charlton (draw no bet) 76%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#14

League One · England Plymouth (draw no bet) 76%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#15

Premier Division · Ireland Shamrock Rovers (draw no bet) 76%

✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%

#16

Championship · England Preston (draw no bet) 74%

#17

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC (draw no bet) 74%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#18

League Two · England Leyton Orient (draw no bet) 73%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%

#19

Superettan · Sweden AFC Eskilstuna (draw no bet) 72%

#20

Serie B · Italy Perugia (draw no bet) 72%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Draw No Bet — common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Monday 10 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington ST (Sheffield Wednesday (draw no bet)) at 92% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.