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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Saturday 30 July 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 30 July 2022. The strongest reading belongs to AFC Eskilstuna vs Dalkurd FF (AFC Eskilstuna (draw no bet)) at 87% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 70%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the draw no bet market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden AFC Eskilstuna (draw no bet) 87%
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 0 FT
Dalkurd FF
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 60%
#2 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Cavalry FC (draw no bet) 82%
Cavalry FC
2 : 0 FT
FC Edmonton
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Austria Ried (draw no bet) 81%
Ried
1 : 0 FT
Austria Lustenau
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 55%
#4 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit (draw no bet) 81%
Zenit
5 : 0 FT
Lokomotiv
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile Antofagasta (draw no bet) 80%
Antofagasta
2 : 1 FT
Coquimbo Unido
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil Corinthians (draw no bet) 79%
Corinthians
1 : 0 FT
Botafogo
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Corinthians Clean Sheet 54%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Goias (draw no bet) 77%
Goias
1 : 0 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden Halmstad (draw no bet) 75%
Halmstad
2 : 1 FT
Landskrona BoIS
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland FC ST. Gallen (draw no bet) 74%
FC ST. Gallen
2 : 0 FT
FC Zurich
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#10 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Incheon United (draw no bet) 74%
Seongnam FC
3 : 1 FT
Incheon United
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
#11 League One Β· England Wycombe (draw no bet) 74%
Wycombe
3 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway Ham-Kam (draw no bet) 74%
Ham-Kam
0 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki (draw no bet) 73%
HJK Helsinki
1 : 0 FT
Mariehamn
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 League One Β· England Sheffield Wednesday (draw no bet) 73%
Sheffield Wednesday
3 : 3 FT
Portsmouth
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 League One Β· England Cheltenham (draw no bet) 72%
Cheltenham
2 : 3 FT
Peterborough
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Championship Β· England Luton (draw no bet) 72%
Luton
0 : 0 FT
Birmingham
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#17 League One Β· England Plymouth (draw no bet) 72%
Plymouth
1 : 0 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium OH Leuven (draw no bet) 72%
OH Leuven
2 : 0 FT
KVC Westerlo
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#19 League Two Β· England Tranmere (draw no bet) 70%
Tranmere
1 : 2 FT
Stevenage
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 19 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 30 July 2022?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by AFC Eskilstuna vs Dalkurd FF (AFC Eskilstuna (draw no bet)) at 87% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.