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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Saturday 17 July 2021

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 17 July 2021. Haugesund vs Brann (Haugesund (draw no bet)) led the list at 88% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 73%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies seven of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the three fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the draw no bet market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Haugesund (draw no bet) 88%
Haugesund
– : – CANC
Brann
Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 57%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki (draw no bet) 88%
AC Oulu
2 : 1 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 10%
Draw 23%
Win 68%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 70% HJK Helsinki Clean Sheet 63%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde (draw no bet) 86%
Molde
– : – CANC
Mjondalen
Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt (draw no bet) 83%
Bodo/Glimt
– : – CANC
Kristiansund BK
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Stromsgodset (draw no bet) 78%
Stromsgodset
– : – CANC
Sandefjord
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway Valerenga (draw no bet) 78%
Valerenga
– : – CANC
Tromso
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg (draw no bet) 76%
Rosenborg
– : – CANC
Lillestrom
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway ODD Ballklubb (draw no bet) 75%
ODD Ballklubb
3 : 2 FT
Viking
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile Union La Calera (draw no bet) 73%
Union La Calera
1 : 0 FT
Curico Unido
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Union La Calera Clean Sheet 53%

Showing top 9 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 17 July 2021?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Haugesund vs Brann (Haugesund (draw no bet)) at 88% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.