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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 20 September 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 20 September 2026. Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom (Lech Poznan or draw) led the list at 91% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 82%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lech Poznan or draw 91%
Lech Poznan
5 : 1 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 27%
Win 9%
BTTS No 55%
#2 Championship Β· England Norwich or draw 89%
Norwich
3 : 4 FT
Bolton
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking or draw 88%
Viking
3 : 0 FT
Lillestrom
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 K League 1 Β· South-Korea FC Seoul or draw 85%
Pohang Steelers
2 : 1 FT
FC Seoul
Win 15%
Draw 33%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Tromso or draw 85%
Tromso
3 : 2 FT
Ham-Kam
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
BTTS No 53%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 85%
Antwerp
0 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 15%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 69%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 68%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Jeonbuk Motors or draw 85%
Jeonbuk Motors
2 : 2 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 85%
Halmstad
2 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 15%
Draw 26%
Win 59%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece OFI or draw 84%
OFI
2 : 2 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 53%
Draw 32%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy Hellas Verona or draw 84%
Hellas Verona
2 : 1 FT
Vicenza Virtus
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 84%
Red Bull Salzburg
3 : 0 FT
Sturm Graz
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 84%
Djurgardens IF
1 : 2 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 83%
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 FT
RB Leipzig
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Zaglebie Lubin or draw 83%
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 2 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 51%
Draw 32%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 83%
Flamengo
2 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Arminia Bielefeld or draw 83%
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Atlético Ottawa or draw 83%
Atlético Ottawa
0 : 2 FT
Supra du Quebec
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy Como or draw 82%
Frosinone
2 : 0 FT
Como
Win 18%
Draw 20%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%
#19 La Liga Β· Spain Getafe or draw 82%
Getafe
1 : 0 FT
Malaga
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 82%
Fenerbahçe
8 : 0 FT
Eyüpspor
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 20 September 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom (Lech Poznan or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.