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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 19 September 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 19 September 2026. The strongest reading belongs to FC Kharkiv vs Bukovyna (FC Kharkiv or draw) at 91% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine FC Kharkiv or draw 91%
FC Kharkiv
2 : 0 FT
Bukovyna
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 26%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ FC Kharkiv Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovan Liberec or draw 91%
Artis
0 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 9%
Draw 18%
Win 73%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland GKS Katowice or draw 91%
GKS Katowice
3 : 2 FT
Cracovia Krakow
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 23%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#4 League One Β· England Huddersfield or draw 89%
Bromley
2 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 11%
Draw 26%
Win 64%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece Aris Thessalonikis or draw 89%
Aris Thessalonikis
0 : 0 FT
Iraklis 1908
Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav or draw 87%
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 0 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 87%
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 FT
Chapecoense-sc
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 League Two Β· England Crewe or draw 86%
Crewe
1 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 58%
#9 League Two Β· England Salford City or draw 86%
Salford City
1 : 0 FT
Swindon Town
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Fortuna Sittard or draw 86%
Willem II
0 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 14%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 68%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 69%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde or draw 85%
Molde
1 : 2 FT
Aalesund
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy Lazio or draw 85%
Venezia
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 15%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 56%
#13 League One Β· England Burton Albion or draw 85%
Burton Albion
2 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 84%
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 16%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 54%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 83%
Başakşehir
4 : 0 FT
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy Palermo or draw 83%
Palermo
2 : 1 FT
Padova
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Gornik Zabrze or draw 83%
Motor Lublin
0 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 17%
Draw 32%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 83%
Sevilla
1 : 3 FT
Barcelona
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw 82%
FC Anyang
2 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#20 Superettan Β· Sweden IFK Norrkoping or draw 82%
Osters IF
1 : 3 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 19 September 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Kharkiv vs Bukovyna (FC Kharkiv or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.