Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 5 September 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 5 September 2026. Manchester City vs Coventry (Manchester City or draw) sits top on 89% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
89%
Superettan · Sweden
IK brage or draw
86%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen or draw
86%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United or draw
86%
League Two · England
Bristol Rovers or draw
85%
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng or draw
85%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica or draw
85%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg or draw
85%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal or draw
85%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw
84%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar or draw
84%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC or draw
84%
League Two · England
Salford City or draw
84%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano or draw
83%
League Two · England
Fleetwood Town or draw
82%
Super League · China
Dalian Zhixing or draw
82%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior or draw
82%
Premier League · Ukraine
FC Kharkiv or draw
82%
Championship · England
West Brom or draw
82%
Ligue 2 · France
Reims or draw
81%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 5 September 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester City vs Coventry (Manchester City or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.