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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 27 February 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 27 February 2026. Sporting CP vs Estoril (Sporting CP or draw) sits top on 89% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 89%
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy Monza or draw 88%
Monza
2 : 0 FT
Virtus Entella
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 88%
Trabzonspor
3 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 87%
FC Porto
3 : 1 FT
Arouca
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 85%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 84%
Al Shabab
3 : 5 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 16%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 83%
Khorfakkan
2 : 3 FT
Al Ain
Win 17%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 81%
Dukla Praha
0 : 2 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 19%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile Cobresal or draw 81%
Cobresal
0 : 1 FT
D. La Serena
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 81%
Zenit
1 : 0 FT
Baltika
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#11 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa or draw 80%
Wolves
2 : 0 FT
Aston Villa
Win 20%
Draw 28%
Win 52%
BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 80%
Dynamo Kyiv
4 : 0 FT
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Patro Eisden or draw 80%
KAA Gent II
2 : 1 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 20%
Draw 21%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 80%
Başakşehir
2 : 0 FT
Konyaspor
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#15 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Kortrijk or draw 80%
Kortrijk
3 : 1 FT
Liège
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#16 Premier Division Β· Ireland Derry City or draw 79%
Derry City
4 : 2 FT
Waterford
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 34%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy Sampdoria or draw 79%
Sampdoria
0 : 2 FT
Bari
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#18 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 77%
St Patrick's Athl.
4 : 0 FT
Dundalk
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 59%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Ajax or draw 77%
Jong Ajax
5 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Augsburg or draw 76%
FC Augsburg
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Köln
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 27 February 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Estoril (Sporting CP or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.