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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 7 December 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 7 December 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Fluminense vs Bahia (Fluminense or draw) at 91% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil Fluminense or draw 91%
Fluminense
2 : 0 FT
Bahia
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Fluminense Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 91%
Tondela
0 : 2 FT
FC Porto
Win 9%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ FC Porto Clean Sheet 59%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv or draw 87%
FC Sochi
2 : 4 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 13%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine Polessya or draw 86%
Ruh Lviv
1 : 0 FT
Polessya
Win 14%
Draw 17%
Win 69%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia Baltika or draw 86%
Baltika
2 : 0 FT
Krylia Sovetov
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC or draw 86%
Port FC
3 : 1 FT
Uthai Thani
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK or draw 85%
PAOK
3 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 62%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia or draw 84%
Nieciecza
2 : 1 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 16%
Draw 28%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 84%
FC Krasnodar
3 : 2 FT
CSKA Moscow
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos or draw 82%
Larisa
2 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 18%
Draw 22%
Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil Vitoria or draw 82%
Vitoria
1 : 0 FT
Sao Paulo
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 Premier League Β· Russia Dinamo Makhachkala or draw 82%
Dinamo Makhachkala
0 : 1 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#13 Primera División Β· Chile Colo Colo or draw 81%
Colo Colo
1 : 2 FT
A. Italiano
Win 63%
Draw 18%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#14 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Karviná or draw 81%
Karviná
0 : 0 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil Corinthians or draw 80%
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
Juventude
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hertha BSC or draw 80%
Hertha BSC
0 : 2 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 80%
Napoli
2 : 1 FT
Juventus
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 79%
Real Madrid
0 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France Auxerre or draw 79%
Auxerre
3 : 1 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#20 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Nacional or draw 78%
Alverca
1 : 0 FT
Nacional
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 7 December 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fluminense vs Bahia (Fluminense or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.