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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 9 December 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 9 December 2025. Bromley vs Crawley Town (Bromley or draw) led the list at 87% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 73%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Bromley or draw 87%
Bromley
3 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 League One Β· England Wycombe or draw 86%
Wycombe
0 : 1 FT
Plymouth
Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 League Two Β· England Swindon Town or draw 84%
Swindon Town
0 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 League One Β· England Leyton Orient or draw 78%
Leyton Orient
1 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd or draw 78%
Sheffield Utd
1 : 1 FT
Norwich
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#6 Championship Β· England Southampton or draw 78%
Southampton
3 : 2 FT
West Brom
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#7 League Two Β· England Barnet or draw 77%
Barnet
4 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#8 Championship Β· England QPR or draw 77%
QPR
2 : 1 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
#9 Championship Β· England Watford or draw 76%
Watford
1 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
#10 League One Β· England Exeter City or draw 76%
Exeter City
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 League One Β· England Reading or draw 75%
Reading
1 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 11 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 9 December 2025?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Bromley vs Crawley Town (Bromley or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.