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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 7 November 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

14 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 7 November 2025. Palmeiras vs Santos (Palmeiras or draw) sits top on 91% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras or draw 91%
Palmeiras
2 : 0 FT
Santos
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 69%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 90%
Al Najma
2 : 4 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 10%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Prachuap or draw 88%
Prachuap
1 : 1 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren or draw 85%
Lommel United
2 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 15%
Draw 26%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile Union La Calera or draw 81%
Union La Calera
1 : 2 FT
Deportes Iquique
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 80%
ADO Den Haag
4 : 0 FT
Roda
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Estoril or draw 80%
Estoril
4 : 3 FT
Arouca
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 80%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2 : 1 FT
Başakşehir
Win 20%
Draw 30%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 55%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France Dunkerque or draw 79%
Dunkerque
1 : 1 FT
Boulogne
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy Cremonese or draw 78%
Pisa
1 : 0 FT
Cremonese
Win 22%
Draw 39%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 73% Cremonese Clean Sheet 56%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Utrecht or draw 78%
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain Elche or draw 77%
Elche
1 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#13 Championship Β· England Watford or draw 76%
Watford
1 : 1 FT
Bristol City
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 75%
Twente
0 : 0 FT
Telstar
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 14 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 7 November 2025?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Palmeiras vs Santos (Palmeiras or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.